The topic of this paper is macroeconomic risks in Transition Economies of the European Union. Transition countries, although not directly connected to the main sorces of the last financial crisis that hit the world in 2008, due to dependency on external capital, have largely experienced its consequences. In order to avoid future economic shocks that these countries have experienced, it is necessary to define the macroeconomic risks that could cause future crises and to face them before their critical point. Forecasting the movement of economic variables has been the topic of a number of scientific studies, in this paper the prediction will be made using the Monte Carlo method. The use of this method for predicting economic growth was proposed by Merkaš, Z., Perkov, D. and Miličević, P. in their paper entitled "Managing macroeconomic risks by using statistical simulation". Based on the quarterly values of the growth of selected variables over the period from the second quarter of 2000 to the second quarter of 2018, an OLS model was created and Monte Carlo simulation was used to predict the growth of gross domestic product for the third quarter of 2018. The precision of the model was evaluated by comparing the projected value and the actual value of GDP growth in the third quarter of 2018.